THURSDAY:
Thursday will feature colder temperatures than we have seen lately. We've been well into the 70s and even near 80 for a few days now, so 50s and 60s will be a shock to the system. Keep in mind, this is about 5 degrees below normal for this time of year. It will be a bit breezy, too, so that will make it feel a bit colder. At least it will be sunny, right?
Thursday night will be cold. Lows will be near freezing, and even below in some spots (I'm looking at you, Crestview). Coastal areas will escape the coldest temperatures, but will still be near 40. Clear skies, and winds will be calming down.
FRIDAY:
Friday is a day of change. Just as quickly as we went down, we go right back up. A few clouds will dot the sky on Friday, gradually increasing into the nighttime hours. Notice that the winds have shifted to out of the southeast, now, which helps bring in warmer temperatures. Highs on Friday will be near to slightly above normal with temperatures in the mid 60s.
The southeasterly wind will continue to bring in warmer temperatures through the night. We fall to our lows early in the night on Friday, so those upper 50s and lower 60s may occur closer to midnight, then gradually increase to the upper 60s/near 70 by Saturday morning. Clouds will increase through the night as well.
SATURDAY:
Saturday will be the warmest day in the forecast, with temperatures approaching record levels. The record high for Pensacola (the official climate reporting station in Northwest Florida) is 78. We'll be close, and we could even hit 80 in some inland areas, especially if a bit more sunshine pokes through the clouds. This is one of those days that could be a good beach day, barring the fact that the rip current risk will likely be moderate to high and water temperatures in the 60s. Skies will remain generally cloudy during the day, and winds will also pick up. There is only a 20% chance of a shower during the day.
Saturday night, rain chances increase ever so slightly, especially the farther west you are (areas such as Pensacola, Century, Jay, and Milton). Very warm overnight lows are expected with temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Now, here is an interesting fact: those overnight lows are above the normal high for this time of year.
SUNDAY:
Sunday is yet another day of change. Rain and thunderstorms look likely. Right now, it's too early to give specifics on a severe weather threat, but we will have to continue monitoring. We will know more once we get closer to Sunday. However, the cold front is expected to pass through during the day, hence the winds shifting from southwest to north. The further west you are, the more likely your temperatures will fall during the afternoon. If you are further east, your temperatures will fall quite a bit during the evening as the cold front moves through. Either way, the highs marked here are averages for the area. The further west you are, highs may be in the upper 60s/lower 70s. The further east you are, highs may be in the mid to upper 70s.
For Sunday night, thunderstorms will end during the evening, but we could still have showers overnight. Lows will be nearly 20 degrees cooler than Saturday night with temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Winds will be rather breezy, ushering in the colder air.
MONDAY through WEDNESDAY:
The early part of next week is generally constant as far as weather goes. There is still a good chance of rain on Monday as leftover moisture just lingers over the area. It will be much cooler, so this is a day that you would want to stay in bed. Basically, it will truly feel like a Monday. Highs will only manage the mid to upper 50s. Rain chances gradually decrease Tuesday and Wednesday as temperatures start to warm back up. Highs by Wednesday will be in the mid 60s and lows will be in the 50s. Winds on Wednesday night will shift back out of the southeast ahead of potentially another system, but that's too far out to even think about speculating.
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